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Sunday, July 13, 2008

New HotStocksNot Sector Indices 0 comments

As I mentioned in an earlier writeup on the new FTSE indices, the sector indices produced by them are not up to scratch for various reasons (will elaborate individually below). Meanwhile SGX has discontinued the previous sector indices that they used to generate. I don't really know what they are doing. So I decided to produce several own sector indices to fill the gaps. Below are my new sector indices with the component stock listing, using the same index calculation methodology/conventions as for my current sector indices. They will start running effective tomorrow (14 Jul).

New Indices

The new sector indices are:
1. Commodities index (this theme has to be tracked given its prominence)
2. Construction index (tracks the remaking of Singapore theme)
3. Financials index (FTSE Financials index covers both financials and real estate and hence is confusing)
4. Property index (FTSE Real Estate index includes China stocks; my property index is meant to track Singapore developers)

To recap, component stocks are typically chosen on the basis of the following:
1. Market cap
2. Trading liquidity
3. Track record
4. Expectation of future performance (stability, growth, trading liquidity)
5. Intangibles (eg. institutional coverage, mindshare in investors' and traders' general attention span)

Commodities Stock Index

Note: All market caps as of 11 July 2008.

Component stock
Market Cap (S$M)
Adjusting Factor
HotStocksNot Oil&Gas Index174.62*100.00
Wilmar30523.600.25
Noble6945.601.00
Olam4060.401.00
Golden Agri8030.600.50
Indofood Agri3228.601.00
Straits Asia3278.501.00
STX Pan-Ocean5825.800.50
Mercator523.001.00
GMG Global484.901.00


* The oil and gas commodities segment, instead of being covered through individual component representative stocks, is instead represented by the index value of my existing Oil & Gas sector index. The index value is multiplied by the adjusting factor (which is why it is so big) to obtain its nominal representative "market cap" in the Commodities index (its initial weight is about 1/3 of the total Commodities index)

Construction Stock Index
Component stock
Market Cap (S$M)
Adjusting Factor
Tat Hong932.201.00
Rotary417.401.00
United Engineers701.800.50
Hong Leong Asia659.100.50
Pan United322.501.00
CSC250.101.00
Chip Eng Seng230.301.00
Yongnam194.801.00
Low Keng Huat166.201.00
HG Metal152.901.00
Lian Beng124.501.00
Tai Sin117.701.00
Koh Brothers98.301.00
Hiap Seng83.501.00
KSH52.901.00
OKP58.401.00


Financials Stock Index
Component stock
Market Cap (S$M)
Adjusting Factor
DBS28947.900.50
UOB28557.900.50
OCBC25575.300.50
SGX7437.101.00
Great Eastern7819.200.50
UOB-Kayhian1217.501.00
Hong Leong Finance1506.701.00
Kim Eng906.101.00


Note that because the market caps of the three banks are so big, the adjusting factors of 0.5 are used to tone down their weighting in the index to prevent their overwhelming representation.

Property Stock Index
Component stock
Market Cap (S$M)
Adjusting Factor
Capitaland16430.501.00
City Development10202.401.00
Hong Kong Land13428.500.50
UIC4063.601.00
Keppel Land3490.001.00
Wheelock2058.101.00
Guocoland1961.201.00
Allgreen1447.201.00
Wing Tai1166.301.00
Hotel Properties1275.800.50
Ho Bee587.501.00
Hong Fok418.801.00
SC Global447.501.00
Orchard Parade345.501.00
Guthrie323.401.00


FTSE Sector Index
The FTSE REIT sector index will be included in the daily update. It provides a good update to the market performance of the REIT sector.

 

 

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